Predict the outcome for SUPER TUESDAY (February 5th) in NEW YORK. Which candidate will win the Republican race and the Democrat race? What is your rationale?
Need more information before blogging? Check out:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/primaries/
http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/election-guide/2008/primaries/states/NY.html
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
4 comments:
The New York Primaries are a very tough one, especially on the Democrat side. We have Clinton, our senator for two terms now, Obama, a man that most certainly appeals to most minorities and Edwards, the most shunned and lesser known Democrat candidate.
As New Yorkers, we have put Clinton into office not once but twice. She won an easy reelection, with barely any difficulties at all. We agree with her key points when she was running for senator and most of those key points have carried onto her campaign and what she will bring to the office. Yes, Obama is certainly appealing to most people, especially young people, and he would most certainly bring on change for this country. But, New Yorkers seem to be more viable to trust Clinton, simply because she has brought change, good change to the New York Senate and has already won the trust of most New Yorkers. She has already won the trust of all minorities, not once, but twice at the polls. And according to recent polling done by the New York Times, Clinton is winning the hearts of New Yorkers by a wide margin. New York is Clinton's backyard, a backyard where she already has strong roots in, a place where turning the tide onto Obama's favor could possibly be hard to do. As for Edwards, most people would rather make their primary vote count for the two most popular candidates, considering their vote for Edwards, a "lost cause".
For the Republican primaries, McCain seems most certainly to win New York. As New Yorkers, we are usually very liberal and don't agree with most of Romney's, Huckabee's and Paul's views. We don't like their strict, traditionalist views and their key points of their campaign, many of which are very conservative. McCain has showed his liberal republican side, which appeals to a lot of New Yorkers. As for Giulani, we grow tiresome of his constant talk of 9/11 and almost using that to gain the support of voters. We also know him as the former Mayor of New York City, who did screw up a lot while in office.
I could keep going, but I rather not.
Fin.
The Primaries have been very shocking some would say. This election I think is very important, more then some in the past for many reasons, mainly because we are at war.
As for the New York Primaries that is hard to predict. I personally would want Obama to win New York because i feel he has not been winning many. Clinton has a greater chance of winning because she is our senator and has been for two terms. People will probably vote for Clinton because she is a strong security.However, Obama could come from behind and shock us all because the state is filled with young and strong democrats.
As for Republicans, i have not been following as much but from watching his mother's interview and with his results i believe that Mccain will win. He is a republican but i view him as more of an on the border. He seems more of the type to not be all republican. If Giuliani was still running i do not believe he would get far in New York because it will overpower his great attitude after 9/11.
I am very excited to see the results, i think New York's Primaries are very important to the campaign as a whole. I wish I could vote :)
Hm...
Well I've been pretty pumped about the New York Primaries coming up. I've been watching the news lately and the debates and well...the top people I see so far are Obama, Clinton, and McCain coming up. The debates between Obama and Clinton are clear to the fact that it'll be only the two of them especially with the drop out of John Edwards. It was quite saddening to see him go since I agreed with him to an extent. It wasn't suprising at all to see Giulani to go but back to the point.
I cannot quite say who will win on the Democratic side but on the Republican side McCain is most likely to win especially for New York, but I'm not much to pay attention to the Republican side.
For the Democratic side, I'm looking for Obama to win, his beliefs and sayings from his speeches really move many people. Clinton however recieves many supports, winning over groups of people. Clinton definitely has many female supporters behind her. I've seen around New York though, all I've seen were Obama supporters, I haven't seen a single Clinton supporter yet. It'll be a close race between Clinton and Obama but I'm really hoping for Obama to win.
If they ran as a ticket, that wouldn't hurt either. ^^
It is anyone's game in who will win Super Tuesday. I think that Clinton will get most of the votes but not a large portion of the people from the Democrats. If Obama doesn't beat Hillary, he is probably right behind Clinton on the Democrat's side. Obama will most likely win Illinois, Georgia, and South Carolina because of the minorities there. Behind Obama and Clinton is John Edwards and though he is third in the run, he did not even get his birth-state's vote showing his incapabilities and extremely low chance of winning. Overall i think that it is going to be a close battle between Obama and Clinton but in my opinion, Clinton will come out on top cause of her previous success throughout the nation of the United States.
On the Republican's side, McCain or Romney is going to be the victor. From previous information about the support of people in certain states, it is most likely that McCain will get Arizona, Delaware, California, Montana, New Jersey, New York, West Virginia and this gives him majority of the votes for the states so far and if McCain keeps it up, then he may be the victor.
Post a Comment